I think that I have found(for me) pretty simple and effective type of progression.
For arms training I use one unilateral exercise for biceps and triceps.
I switch between right/left arm without rest(almost) in 3 sets
So I start with fairy low weight and my sets looks like this 15(not to failure), 12(close to failure), 8(close to failure)
I add 2.5kg every workout until I can hardly do 15 reps in first set.
When it happens I lower the weight on 10kg and start climbing again.

So far it works fine, I can see by my records that that I return to previous weight I able to do more reps then before

I decide to quit after 6 weeks and take a week off
I planning to do cardio(cycle) for 20-30 min for 3 times in this week.
BW almost 84kg

sometimes i wish the US would just adopt the metric system.
the way I was raised, I always have to do the 2.2xkg = lbs calculation in my head

same goes for meters.